Provides a set of R functions for determining if periods of emergence (PoE) and/or time of emergence (ToE) of compound events probabilities have emerged in data.
This module allows to statistically model if and how compound events have significantly evolved through time, based on reanalysis or simulated data. The definition of the compound (i.e., involved variables) is made by the user.
Release Notes
The development of the R package is finalized. In this version, the statistical protocol has been well-defined, developed and tested. A set of usual marginal distribution functions and Archimedian copula families are provided. A scientific paper, presenting the methodology, the protocol and an application to Europe hot & dry compound events has been submitted (https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-461).
Future Plans
Next steps include potential extensions to n (>2) variables for more complex compound events, as well as an extension of the methodology to include the possibility to perform “attribution” studies.